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Topic: HURRICANE CENTRAL: Storms and your Disney trip, Will Hurricanes/Storms Affect Your Trip?< Next Oldest | Next Newest >
RichKoster Offline
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Posted: June 11, 2005, 10:33 am Quote



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utilidor27 Offline
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Posted: June 11, 2005, 10:50 am Quote

Quote (RichKoster @ June 11, 2005 10:31 am/pm)
Quote (utilidor27 @ June 11, 2005 09:25 am/pm)
What's up with the delay? Just checked the website and there's no update - and it is 10:25 by my clock!

Eric, note that they've switched to Central time, not Eastern time any longer. I guess they do that because it will be making landfall in the Central time zone.

:blush:

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RichKoster Offline
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Posted: June 11, 2005, 10:54 am Quote

Quote (BambiTamby @ June 10, 2005 21:36 am/pm)
Rich, according to your links, you can now see a well-defined eye!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html

And it looks even better now, Tamby.

BTW, EchoEars, if you don't see a dot next to Mobile in the graphic I posted in my post above, refresh your browser (press the Shift key as you left-click your brower's refresh button) and when the graphic is reloaded you'll see I've added a marker where Mobile, AL is.

Keep my mom in your prayers, EchoEars. Her house is near there, to the right on the east side of Mobile Bay in Spanish Fort. She's in a strong house where it is high with good drainage so the only thing she needs to worry about is trees going down.
:praying:


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RichKoster Offline
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Posted: June 11, 2005, 10:57 am Quote

BTW, notice that H in a circle on the map? That's where they expect Tropical Storm Arlene to turn into Hurricane Arlene.

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RichKoster Offline
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Posted: June 11, 2005, 10:59 am Quote

Bulletin
Tropical Storm Arlene Advisory Number  13
NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
10 am CDT Sat Jun 11 2005

...Winds and rains increasing along the northern gulf coast as the center of Arlene approaches...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for portions of the north central gulf coast from Pascagoula, Mississippi eastward to Destin, Florida.

A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remain in effect from the mouth of the pearl river eastward to west of Pascagoula, Mississippi...and also from east of Destin, Florida eastward to Indian Pass, Florida.

At 10 am CDT...1500 UTC...the Tropical Storm Warning from east of Ochlocknee River to Steinhatchee River has been discontinued.

A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for the northern gulf coast from Grand Isle, Louisiana to the mouth of the Pearl River...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain...and also from Indian Pass, Florida eastward to Ochlocknee River,  Florida.

Interests elsewhere in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and the southeastern United States should closely monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 10 am CDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Arlene was estimated near latitude 29.6 north...longitude  87.4 west or about 110 miles east-northeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River and about 85 miles south-southeast of Mobile, Alabama.

Arlene is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph.  On this track...the center of Arlene should cross the coast within the warning area later today.

Arlene remains just below hurricane strength with maximum sustained winds near 70 mph with higher gusts. There is still a slight chance for Arlene to become a hurricane before landfall.

Tropical Storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles mainly to the north and east of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is  990 mb...29.23 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Water levels are currently about one to two feet above normal tide levels along the northern gulf coast.

Rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches can be expected with Arlene from the eastern and central gulf coast northward through the Tennessee Valley and into the lower to middle Ohio Valley over the next two days. Isolated maximum rainfall totals of 8 inches are possible in the vicinity of the gulf coast.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over portions of southern Alabama...southwestern Georgia...the Florida panhandle...and
northwestern Florida today.

Repeating the 10 am CDT position...29.6 n... 87.4 w.  Movement toward...north-northwest near 14 mph.  Maximum sustained winds... 70 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 990 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 1 pm CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 pm CDT.


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RichKoster Offline
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Posted: June 11, 2005, 11:29 am Quote

Great news for my mom -- and also everyone!

For my mom, the great news is that Arlene is now expected to make landfall to the east of where her house is -- and these storms are worse to the east of their center, not as bad to the west of their center.

For everyone, the latest map does not show Arlene expected to turn into a hurricane! :clapping: :hurricane:
Thank God and for everyone everywhere who has been praying about this storm. :nod:



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RichKoster Offline
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Posted: June 11, 2005, 1:36 pm Quote

The northern part of the storm's eye wall is moving on shore now. Tropical Storm Arlene's position at 10 am CDT was located at 29.5 N, 87.4 W with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph, moving NNW at 14 mph. That position was 85 miles SSE of Mobile, AL, but at this hour the storm is actually coming on shore in the Baldwin County (Gulf Shores/Orange Beach, AL area) and Escambia County (Pensacola, FL area).

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Posted: June 11, 2005, 3:32 pm Quote

Except for some torrential rain earlier this afternoon, we're pretty much in the clear now. Lots of traffic though on 319, as people from Franklin, Jefferson, and Wakulla counties are heading back to their homes after evacuating yesterday. Doesn't help that we just had a tree fall down over the highway!

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Posted: June 11, 2005, 3:42 pm Quote

Travellers on east-west I-10 will have a soggy day.  At least it's not like Ivan was when part of I-10 over Pensacola FL washed away September 2004!  And a permanent bridge there still isn't built.

Going through Mobile AL Bankhead Tunnel under the Mobile River at Downtown is closed due to potential flooding.

Hang in there!  It'll be over soon.

At least you don't have to water your lawn!  Think of the water bill savings just for that, heh! ;)

Baseball game for tonight at Zephyrs (ironic name) Stadium vs. Oklahoma in Metairie LA might be a go for the Cub Scout Pack we're connected with.  Son will be glad.  

Mamaloya, you and family and house OK?  You back home yet?  (Lives near mouth of Mississippi River and posted in teh Pixie Dust Forum she'd be leaving due to low-lying area. )
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Posted: June 11, 2005, 5:06 pm Quote

Quote
At least it's not like Ivan was when part of I-10 over Pensacola FL washed away September 2004!  And a permanent bridge there still isn't built.

I don't even want to think about Ivan, Carol... Richmond hasn't recovered from the rains and flooding here.... Am glad for all of you EchoEars in the area that Arlene didn't follow their original predictions....


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417 replies since June 10, 2005, 11:59 am < Next Oldest | Next Newest >

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