Disney EchoEar Grand Mouseter
Joined: April 1992
||Posted: Dec. 30, 2011, 6:04 am
The real crystal ball into directions Oscar voting might go is with the various individual professional and guild organizations of those who work in the motion picture industry.
The annual Annie Awards for excellence in animation (film, TV, commercials, online, direct to home video, even special effects animations for otherwise live-action movies) will be bestowed and announced February 4, 2012.
Disney, Pixar, Touchstone, Disney Channels and other Disney entities have several nominations.
But when you look and scroll down the list of nominees at the link, you'll notice several categories that have more than 4-5 nominees. With that kind of dilution maybe Hollywood is less competitive than we might think. Winners in such categories, say if there's 8 nominees, would win with just one or a few more than 12.5% of the vote.
Disney, Pixar, Touchstone, Disney Channels and other Disney entities all have competition, that's for sure, some categories have lots and lots of competition.
The relevant Oscar categories are Best Animated Feature and Best Animated Short. Compare who wins Annie Awards in February to who will win Oscars in late February, and you might spot early trends and easy predictions with these professional organization awards they hand out to each other. How Annies might go might predict who'll get Oscars in similar Oscar animation-related categories.
It also sounds prestigious and looks good on the resume' to at least be nominated. But see earlier about how many are nominated in various categories, a lot in some of them, dilution. Making it seem like everybody wants that resume' enhancement by "it's an honor even to be nominated" since in Hollywood you're only as good as your last project. When everyone nominates everyone else, everyone gets the resume' enhancement and it "looks good" to the outside world or those who don't pay that close attention to how it works.
Usually what Hollywood likes better than awards (they love the ego boost of the awards, and the publicity value) is good box office and profitable box office. This year in Hollywood box office is critically down, so much so they're starting to panic. And 3-D's a bust. Lean times in Tinseltown. If movies or short subjects or TV shows made a profit at all, that will be consolation in case they don't take home a statuette or plaque or award of some kind.
Conspicuously absent is Disney's box office flop "Mars Needs Moms". And a couple of the nominees (POTC 4 and Cars 2) may be Disney's two top box office movies of 2011, but when compared to earlier versions of those franchises made less money in 2011 than past versions of same franchise did. It's a lean year in Hollywood and it affected Disney as it did other studios.
There's some Oscar categories for technical animation-visual effects that overlaps a bit with some of the Annie nominations, there is in fact a special professional group/guild for visual effects and they nominate and give themselves internal awards, too. If you want visual effects, find in the Disney animation or live action movie Forums past year's topics for awards season. In prior years I actually found the guild that does visual effects. If you're interested in the nitty gritty of who wins what in Hollywood for awards season, it's findable with a bit of work all these specialty prof
Link leads you to all nominations for all categories. The Disney, Pixar, Touchstone, Disney-related cable channels nominations are what to look for. Unlike prior years I'm not going to put work into something proven to get little notice or interest on this site, so I'll leave it up to you to scroll and peer for the Disney et al nominations at the link. Take a look if interested however, since animation is one of the core businesses of The Walt Disney Company.
And congratulations and best of luck to all Disney entities and people nominated!