Shake Hands & Newbie Help Trip Reports & Travel Dining & Planning Disney At Home Fun News & History
Disneyland / WDW Parks & Resorts: Concierge / Ft. Wilderness / Polynesian News & Business Animation & Live
Disney Echo feed Scroll Topic List Disney Echo TV Forum Search Button Travel Blog Mouseke-Calendar ModEARator Team Forum Help Button
Click to join DisneyEchoMouseNotes
Click to subscribe
to
Disney Echo MouseNotes!

Welcome to the Disney Echo!
It looks like you haven't registered for our forums -- or you aren't logged in yet. Did you know there are some forums and features here only for logged-in members can see? Yes, there are!
More important than that, you need to log in to comment in our many Disney discussions or send messages here. We're always eager to share tips and opinions on the Disney Echo with fellow Disney fans -- yours, too! So...
Don't just be our Guest... Register and join in the fun! Already an EchoEar? Click here for the log-in page!
To get the most out of your experience here on the Disney Echo, please register and log in. Registration is free. There are a lot of benefits to being a member and logging in. For one thing, this annoying text won't be at the top of every screen! There also will be unlimited access to you to read and participate in all of the Disney Echo forums. You can receive notifications regarding topics of interest. Send and receive private messages with other Disney EchoEars. So sign up and then log in today!
» Welcome, Guest
[ Log In ˚◦˚ Register It's free! Only takes 30 seconds! Log-in problems? Click here! ]

Pages: (42) Jump to first page Previous Page ... 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 Next Page Jump to last page

[ Mouseke-Track this topic :: Email this topic :: Print this topic ]

Reply to Topic New Topic New Poll
Topic: HURRICANE CENTRAL: Storms and your Disney trip, Will Hurricanes/Storms Affect Your Trip?< Next Oldest | Next Newest >
RichKoster Offline
Rich Koster




ModEARator

Group: Super ModEARator
Posts: 29282
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 16, 2005, 4:58 pm Quote

Oh, boy... Not again! :hurricane:

Now it is Tropical Depression TWENTY-FOUR, expected to become Tropical Storm Wilma and then Hurricane Wilma, and head north across Cuba and into the Gulf of Mexico.

Where will it go after that? At this point it is anybody's guess, but it could go as far west as the southwest Louisiana coast, or hit New Orleans, or hit the Mississippi Gulf coast, or Mobile, Alabama, or (at this point the most-likely) the Florida panhandle, or even the peninsula of Florida: Tampa/St. Pete, Orlando, Miami... Time will tell.

Here is a captured image from the National Hurricane Center today of the current (as of this writing, Sunday afternoon 10/16/2005) projected path as well as the cone of probability of what is expected to be Hurricane Wilma...



Click the map above to see it larger.


For the latest information and the latest forecast map information, click here.

Pay attention to the latest information from The National Hurricane Center about this storm if you live along the Gulf Coast or even the eastern portion of Florida -- and especially if you're planning a Walt Disney World or Disney Cruise Line vacation in the weeks to come.


--------------
RichKoster
Disney Echo modEARator / administratEAR
“Dreams Do Come True Down In New Orleans.”
Disney's "The Princess and the Frog"

Back to top
Profile PM WEB MSN YIM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
CarolKoster Offline
Carol Koster




Disney EchoEar Grand Mouseter

Group: Members
Posts: 21928
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 16, 2005, 5:00 pm Quote

Faith, Trust & Pixie Dust Forum Topic about Wilma is here, in case anyone wants to offer faith-based thoughts or secular Pixie Dust encouragement to anyone who might be in Wilma's path.

http://new.disneyecho.emuck.com/cgi-bin....&t=8611

Wilma is one of the characters in the cartooon series "The Flintstones".  I don't think we want another tropical weather system to blow Northern Gulf Coasters into the stone age!  We've had Rita, Katrina (both in 2005) and there are folks in Mobile and Baldwin Counties, Alabama and in Northwest Florida still dealing with Ivan from 2004!  We're all tired of hurricanes!

Keep abreast of the news, everyone, it may be a bumpy ride!
Back to top
Profile PM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
RichKoster Offline
Rich Koster




ModEARator

Group: Super ModEARator
Posts: 29282
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 16, 2005, 5:41 pm Quote

Quote (CarolKoster @ Oct. 16, 2005 16:00 am/pm)
Wilma is one of the characters in the cartoon series "The Flintstones".

As Fred Flintstone would say, "WIL-MA!!!!!



At least the storm won't be named after her best friend, Betty Rubble!


--------------
RichKoster
Disney Echo modEARator / administratEAR
“Dreams Do Come True Down In New Orleans.”
Disney's "The Princess and the Frog"

Back to top
Profile PM WEB MSN YIM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
CarolKoster Offline
Carol Koster




Disney EchoEar Grand Mouseter

Group: Members
Posts: 21928
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 16, 2005, 6:01 pm Quote

I just went to the National Hurricane Center, they updated their 5-day cone of probability....  It's moved westerly!  More towards New Orleans!  Now, this thing can continue to shift... BUT if it comes HERE for US in the New Orleans area that would be BAD!  Areas could reflood and the levees are only now being fortified after Katrina!

If Wilma continues with a westerly track it won't be affecting WDW, but it WILL affect New Orleans!
Back to top
Profile PM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
RichKoster Offline
Rich Koster




ModEARator

Group: Super ModEARator
Posts: 29282
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 17, 2005, 7:39 am Quote

Quote (CarolKoster @ Oct. 16, 2005 17:01 am/pm)
I just went to the National Hurricane Center, they updated their 5-day cone of probability....  It's moved westerly!  More towards New Orleans!  Now, this thing can continue to shift... BUT if it comes HERE for US in the New Orleans area that would be BAD!  Areas could reflood and the levees are only now being fortified after Katrina!

If Wilma continues with a westerly track it won't be affecting WDW, but it WILL affect New Orleans!

Even worse, the 5 am update now shows it is no longer a tropical depression but we now have Tropical Storm Wilma.

Here is the latest (as of 5 am EDT 10/17/05) captured image from the National Hurricane Center of Wilma's projected path as well as the cone of probability for the upcoming direction of what is expected to be Hurricane Wilma...



Click the map above to see it larger.


For the latest information and the latest forecast map information, click here.


--------------
RichKoster
Disney Echo modEARator / administratEAR
“Dreams Do Come True Down In New Orleans.”
Disney's "The Princess and the Frog"

Back to top
Profile PM WEB MSN YIM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
RichKoster Offline
Rich Koster




ModEARator

Group: Super ModEARator
Posts: 29282
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 17, 2005, 8:50 am Quote

It is now moving south! But it still isn't expected to keep going that way... Latest projects still who Wilma coming into the Gulf of Mexico later this week and northward to the United States, east of New Orleans ( Universal Studios Orlando??? )



Bulletin
Tropical Storm Wilma Intermediate Advisory Number   7a
NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami FL
8 am EDT Mon Oct 17 2005

...Wilma moving erratically in the Caribbean...

A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch remain in effect for the Cayman Islands.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 8 am EDT...1200z...the center of tropical storm Wilma was located near latitude 16.8 north... longitude 79.6 west or about 205 miles... 335 km... southeast of Grand Cayman.

Wilma is moving southward at about 5 mph ...8 km/hr...but a slow motion toward the southwest or west is expected during the next 24 hours.  Steering currents remain weak and a continued erratic motion is possible during the next day or two.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 40 mph... 65 Km/hr...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles... 75 km... mainly southwest of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb...29.53 inches.

The depression is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the Cayman Islands and Jamaica... with isolated amounts of 8 to 12 inches possible.

Repeating the 8 am EDT position...16.8 n... 79.6 w.  Movement toward...south near 5 mph.  Maximum sustained winds... 40 mph.  Minimum central pressure...1000 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 11 am EDT.


--------------
RichKoster
Disney Echo modEARator / administratEAR
“Dreams Do Come True Down In New Orleans.”
Disney's "The Princess and the Frog"

Back to top
Profile PM WEB MSN YIM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
RichKoster Offline
Rich Koster




ModEARator

Group: Super ModEARator
Posts: 29282
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 17, 2005, 6:55 pm Quote

Our meteorologist just showed a map in which after Wilma stops heading south it will bend to the north and then take a sharp turn to the right, sending it in the direction of Orlando!
:Oo:


--------------
RichKoster
Disney Echo modEARator / administratEAR
“Dreams Do Come True Down In New Orleans.”
Disney's "The Princess and the Frog"

Back to top
Profile PM WEB MSN YIM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
RichKoster Offline
Rich Koster




ModEARator

Group: Super ModEARator
Posts: 29282
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 17, 2005, 7:08 pm Quote

Look out, Disney World!!

The National Hurricane Center's latest map shows Hurricane Wilma talking a dramatic turn right after getting north of Cuba, and heading straight for Orlando!

Of course, it still is a far, far way away... and it is hard to project this far in advance...

But on the other hand, the National Hurricane Center's computer projections have gotten pretty reliable in the past couple of years. Here's their latest map (as of 5 PM EDT Monday, 10/17/05)...



Click here to see the map larger.


For the latest information and the latest forecast map information, click here.


--------------
RichKoster
Disney Echo modEARator / administratEAR
“Dreams Do Come True Down In New Orleans.”
Disney's "The Princess and the Frog"

Back to top
Profile PM WEB MSN YIM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
RichKoster Offline
Rich Koster




ModEARator

Group: Super ModEARator
Posts: 29282
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 18, 2005, 1:18 pm Quote

Hurricane Wilma forecasted to hit Florida, become a Category 3 hurricane with winds exceeding 111 mph

The National Hurricane Center says that Wilma has grown to hurricane level, and the latest map shows its largest probability path as well as the surrounding "bubble" of potential landfall areas making landfall along the peninsula of Florida (including Walt Disney World) as well as the potential of the storm going across parts of the Florida panhandle. The Disney Cruise Line's ports of call (including home base of Port Canaveral and Castaway Cay) are also in the area where Hurricane Wilma could go.  

One of the computer projections actually shows the eye of Hurricane Wilma going over Walt Disney World and the Orlando metro area!
:Oo:



Below is the latest map (as of 11 AM EDT Tuesday, 10/18/05) from the National Hurricane Center of Hurricane Katrina's predicted area of landfall, with all the computer models averaged into the white dotted line ...



Click here to see the map larger.


For the latest information and the latest forecast map information, click here.



From the Associated Press:

October 18, 2005, 11:01 AM EDT

Wilma strengthened into a hurricane today on a path that could threaten Florida, Cuba and Mexico, tying the record for the most hurricanes to form in an Atlantic season.

Wilma is the 12th hurricane of the season, a number reached once before in 1969 since record keeping began in 1851. At 11 a.m. EDT, Wilma had top sustained winds of near 75 mph, just above the 74 mph threshold to be a hurricane.

Long-range forecasts show Wilma could hit western Cuba or the Yucatan Peninsula before heading into the Gulf of Mexico by Friday. The storm could also spare those countries while passing through the narrow Yucatan Channel. Either way, computer models showed Wilma bearing down on Florida over the weekend.

It is forecast to become a Category 3 hurricane with winds exceeding 111 mph by Thursday. Conditions such as warm water and favorable atmospheric winds in the northwestern Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico indicate strengthening, forecasters said.

"It does look like it poses a significant threat to Florida by the weekend. Of course, these are four- and five-day forecasts, so things can change,'' said Dan Brown, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Six hurricanes have hit Florida since August 2004, causing more than $20 billion in estimated damage and killing nearly 150 people in the state. Another hurricane, Rita, brushed by the Florida Keys last month. Wilma was on a path that could threaten coastal areas hit by Hurricane Charley last year.

Wilma first entered the history books Monday, becoming the Atlantic hurricane season's 21st named storm before dawn, tying the record set in 1933 and exhausting the list of storm names.

At 11 a.m., Wilma's center was about 195 miles south-southeast of Grand Cayman and about 200 miles east-northeast of the Nicaragua/Honduras border. It was moving northwest near 7 mph.

The Gulf Coast was already battered this year by Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Dennis, while Emily hit Mexico. The areas devastated by Katrina will likely be spared by Wilma.

"There's no scenario now that takes it toward Louisiana or Mississippi, but that could change,'' said Max Mayfield, director of the National Hurricane Center.

The Cayman Islands were under a hurricane watch, meaning those conditions could be felt within 36 hours. A tropical storm warning was posted there and for the Honduran coast, meaning those conditions were expected within 24 hours. The storm is expected to bring 2 to 6 inches of rain in the Caymans, southeastern Cuba, Haiti, Honduras and Jamaica, with as much as 12 inches possible in some areas, forecasters said.

Since 1995, the Atlantic has been in a period of higher hurricane activity. Scientists say the cause of the increase is a rise in ocean temperatures and a decrease in the amount of disruptive vertical wind shear that rips hurricanes apart. Some researchers argue that global warming fueled by man's generation of greenhouse gases is the culprit.

Forecasters at the hurricane center say the busy seasons are part of a natural cycle that can last for at least 20 years, and sometimes up to 40 or 50. They say the conditions are similar to those when the Atlantic was last in a period of high activity in the 1950s and 60s.

It's difficult to know whether the Atlantic was even busier at any time before record keeping began. And satellites have only been tracking tropical weather since the 1960s, so some storms that just stayed at sea or hit unpopulated areas before then could have escaped notice.

The six-month hurricane season ends Nov. 30. Wilma is the last on the list of storm names for 2005; there are 21 names on the yearly list because the letters q, u, x, y and z are skipped. If any other storms form, letters from the Greek alphabet would be used, starting with Alpha. That has never happened in roughly 60 years of regularly named Atlantic storms.

"We've got six weeks to go, so a lot of things can happen,'' Mayfield said, noting that there have been 10 late-season hurricanes Category 3 or higher since 1995.


--------------
RichKoster
Disney Echo modEARator / administratEAR
“Dreams Do Come True Down In New Orleans.”
Disney's "The Princess and the Frog"

Back to top
Profile PM WEB MSN YIM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
RichKoster Offline
Rich Koster




ModEARator

Group: Super ModEARator
Posts: 29282
Joined: April 1992
Posted: Oct. 18, 2005, 1:28 pm Quote

"Intensification into a Category 3 hurricane by Thursday still seems like a good bet. There is a small chance Wilma could make it to Category 4 status by Friday, but shear will start to increase by then as the upper-level trough of low pressure generates strong westerly winds over her. This shear will likely reduce Wilma's winds by at least 20 mph, and landfall in Florida as a strong Category 2 hurricane seems like a reasonble intensity forecast.

"Steering currents are expected to remain weak today, and some erratic motion is possible. All of the forecast models predict a generally west or west-northwest motion over the next two days. Now that Wilma has stopped moving south, this gives me some confidence that this forecast is the correct one... The models have reached a strong consensus that a low pressure system currently bringing rain to the western U.S. will move east and exert a strong pull on Wilma, turning her more northwest by Thursday, through the Yucatan Channel, and then northeastward into the Florida Keys or the west coast of Florida by the weekend. Most of the guidance shows the Keys to be the primary region at risk, but the GFDL model has moved its landfall point further north with its most recent run (2 am EDT), and puts the area between Sarasota and Fort Myers in the bullseye. The NOAA jet is scheduled to makes its first flight tonight, and tomorrow morning we should have a better idea of the reliability of the current model forecasts."

Jeff Masters, Weather Underground Chief Meteorologist


--------------
RichKoster
Disney Echo modEARator / administratEAR
“Dreams Do Come True Down In New Orleans.”
Disney's "The Princess and the Frog"

Back to top
Profile PM WEB MSN YIM
Subscribe to the Disney Echo
417 replies since June 10, 2005, 11:59 am < Next Oldest | Next Newest >

[ Mouseke-Track this topic :: Email this topic :: Print this topic ]

Pages: (42) Jump to first page Previous Page ... 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 Next Page Jump to last page
Reply to Topic New Topic New Poll

Quick Reply: HURRICANE CENTRAL: Storms and your Disney trip
Mouseke-Code Buttons
You are Posting as:
Guest
Do you wish to enable your signature for this post?
Do you wish to enable MickEmoticons for this post?
Mouseke-Track this topic
View All MickEmoticons
View Mouseke-Code


Please Support Our Sponsors:
Disney Echo Amazon.com and Disney Echo Ink Shop
for Disney Echo Buttons!

Add your Disney picture to our EchoEars' Slideshow

Click here to get a Disney Echo Slideshow for your desktop!

The FANtasEARS Disney Fan Club and Disney Echo has been visited
times by Disney fans since June 18, 1998. We're glad you dropped by!


The Disney Echo is proud to be mentioned in PassPorter Walt Disney World, PassPorter's Field Guide to the Disney Cruise Line, and The Unofficial Guide to Walt Disney World.

The Disney Echo is for like-minded individuals who gather here to discuss all aspects of The Walt Disney Company who have agreed to follow the Disney Echo Rules. All participants are welcome! We're not affiliated with nor endorsed by The Walt Disney Company, so you are free to share your opinions and join the fun Disney Spirit without having to toe the company line. Visit the official Disney web site by clicking here. The Disney Echo and FANtasEars Fan Club are not responsible for any damages that may be a result of the use of the information supplied on these pages. The viewer agrees to this by viewing the pages. Our Privacy Statement